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Oct 15 2015

On Election 2015

On Monday, 19 October, Canadians return to the polls to elect new members to our national Parliament, much as we have done for nearly 150 years, and as our forefathers in Britain have done for centuries.

One could say that this election isn’t about big ideas, or big change.  And they would be right.   But that doesn’t mean the election doesn’t matter, or that any of the three major parties would be good choices.

First, we have the NDP of Mr. Mulcair.  He is dropping in the polls, partly because they failed to see that their support in Quebec could be eroded because of the NDP stance on niqabs and the requirement for people to show their faces in government offices and during government ceremonies.  The European Court of Justice has ruled that even in primarily socialist Europe where “human rights” are protected to a very great extent, the niqab can be banned by the state, as has been done in Belgium and France.

The NDP as problematic for me, because they are the party of socialism – and socialism has failed in EVERY instance where it has been tried.  Mulcair isn’t really a hardcore socialist – he was a Liberal MNA in Quebec, which just about makes him a Conservative.  But others in his party, who he would need to draw on to form a cabinet, scare me a lot more.  These are people who think Naomi Klein and David Suzuki are sane and rational.   And some of their promises will have EXACTLY the opposite effect they hope they will.

Next we have Mr. Trudeau.  He wants to spend us into oblivion again, like his father and Mr. Mulroney did.  He doesn’t see a problem with borrowing vast sums and spending it on wasteful “social justice” projects.  The problem is that government “stimulus” is such a tiny portion of the economy, it is impossible to have a significant enough positive effect to matter.  And the negative effects of government borrowing (they have to borrow from SOMEONE, and that money could be invested in something that ACTUALLY makes growth) are never considered.

Similarly, Mr. Trudeau wants to raise taxes on the rich so he can “cut taxes” for the poor – except that tax cut is so tiny most wouldn’t notice it.  If you want to help the poor, raise the personal exemption to $25,000 so that the truly  poor don’t pay any taxes at all.  And his tax increase on the “rich” must necessarily hit even the top end of the middle class – there aren’t enough “rich people” to pay for his promises.

The last problem with tax increases is that they reduce economic growth, which drives up unemployment.  And when the wealthy decide to leave and move to greener pastures (America, Britain) where taxes are lower and their value is understood by government, all of that taxable revenue will be lost to the government of Canada.

Mr. Trudeau seems like a nice guy – but not that smart.  He hasn’t really had a job or had to work to put food on the table,and he has never had to balance anyone’s books.  And he too has some wingnuts in his party – like Chrystia Freeland who is hardly more grounded that Naomi Klein.   I also don’t trust the Liberal party – because they still pull Chretien out of the grave and have other hangers on who want to get to the gravy train as fast as they can.

So finally we come to Mr. Harper.  He isn’t the more charismatic leader, and he hasn’t been “conservative enough” for me, but then I’m a libertarian who thinks there is STILL too much government getting in the way of economic growth.  But at least he has a plan to balance the books and keep them that way.   And if you don’t like Mr. Harper personally, you can be sure that he won’t serve the whole term.  Even if the Conservatives win on Monday – Harper won’t stay past 2017.

I will be voting for the Conservative candidate in my riding – because I trust them not to screw me over more than I do the other two.

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