Jan
23

The Decline of America

In Mark Steyn’s recent treatise, After America, he makes the case that American society is doomed unless the people of the United States very rapidly repudiate the social welfare state and expansive federal government that they have voted for repeatedly over the last fifty years.   This data, which I found at Zero Hedge, shows that almost half of American households are now recipients of state largesse via a benefit program (of which there are 69 such programs):

If half of American households are receiving a government benefit, and the size of that benefit is equal to $6640 per person per year, the question becomes:  Who is paying?  I suspect that the “half of households” receiving benefits lines up relatively well with the half of the population who don’t pay any US federal income taxes.   And with a benefit cost of $6640 per person per year cost is clearly unsustainable.  If we first assume that only two-thirds of Americans are actually of tax-paying age, and half of them don’t pay taxes, this means only 33% of the population is paying for these benefits.  That means each of those taxpayers is on the hook for almost $20,000 dollars in taxes.  Hmmm.  Is the tax rate high enough on even those in lower tax brackets to recover that.  No.  And corporate taxes don’t do it either because they extract wealth from the economy that could be used to hire more taxpayers.

This is why America is broke and doomed unless it faces up to the fact that their welfare state is unsustainable.

Jan
18

The City of Calgary shouldn’t waste time on “sustainable food”

The other day on my drive home, Angela Kokott (CHQR 770 drive home show host) interviewed Calgary alderman Giancarlo Carra (Ward 9) about the City of Calgary’s  efforts to consider the “Sustainability of the Food Supply”.  Carra droned on about the need for the City to have a food plan to make sure that all Calgarians have access to nutritious food that is “sustainable” and that more “locally grown” food be available.

My question is why is this the City of Calgary’s problem?  Why do we need to waste tax money on people discussing this, let alone actually creating a bureaucracy.  Look at countries that tried to plan food production and distribution.  When I was a teen and the Soviet union was in it’s early death throes, there were many news stories about people lining up for food in Soviet cities…

The free market does an exceptional job of putting food in the stores and giving people lots of options at many price points.  I knew a single mother with five children who had found a way to feed them healthily on a very low income.  Was it easy?  No.  Did she work very hard to do it?  Yes.  But it can be done.

The city (or any level of government) cannot mandate what people choose to eat, nor should they mandate where our food comes from.  If I want to spend my money on grapes from Chile or South Africa, or potatoes from Idaho – I should be free to do so without interference from the state.  And I don’t see the value in a City of Calgary committee wasting my tax money talking about what they think the City should be doing with regard to our food supply.

Dec
08

There will be no Deus Ex Machina

Tyler Durden at ZeroHedge has provided a link to a very good article at Gold Switzerland:

With most of the world’s major economies as well as the financial system bankrupt, there is only one solution that can save the world economy. Like in the Greek tragedies, Deus ex Machina is now the only way that the world can avoid a total economic collapse. This would involve God being lowered down onto the world stage and miraculously saving the plot.

Let us return to the wise [Ludwig] von Mises to look at the options available now: “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion.  The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final or total catastrophe of the currency system involved.

Whatever politicians, bankers, economists or others experts say, there is no solution to this crisis.We have reached the end of the road and are now staring into the abyss.

To stop the money printing and credit creation would be the only sensible way of ending the failed quasi-capitalist, socialist experiment which is in the process of destroying the structure of the Western world. For almost 100 years we have lived on a system based on debt. This has created a false prosperity as well as false values. The transfer of capital from private enterprise to government by massive taxation is approaching 50% in many countries (see table). The average for 18 industrialised countries is almost 40%. This means that on average 40% of the productive economy is transferred to a non-producing entity (government) which wastes most of the money in the process of redistribution. But not only that, since the state has taken over up to 50% of the economy in these countries, the desire to work, to strive, to take risk and to invent has been taken away from a major part of the population.

To any thinking individual, it is totally incomprehensible that governments and central banks believe that an insolvent world can be saved by debt issued by bankrupt nations and then bought by the issuers themselves as there is no other buyer. This is the perfect recipe for self-destruction and “total catastrophe of the system.”

The world is in a total mess and there is absolutely no solution to this unprecedented crisis. The hyperinflationary depression that we will experience in the next few years will totally destroy the majority of the credit based wealth that has been created in the last few decades.

Nov
21

Calgary Budget 2012

Calgary city council is currently debating the 2012-2014 budget, and all the news is about whether or not they can maintain a property tax hike of 5%, or will it have to go higher. None of the city councilors seem to think that increasing spending at a rate well above inflation + population growth is a problem. Have they not seen what has happened in Greece?

I thought I would have a look at the city’s numbers. Unfortunately, the documentation made available by the city doesn’t give a clear picture of where all the money goes and why it goes there. I mostly understand the money spent on Transit, Police, Fire and Snow Clearing (as mediocre as that is in Calgary), although more transparency on how much is spent on actual “delivery” versus “administration” would be nice.  While they expose the “corporate administration”, there is little breakdown of how much “management” exists inside each department.

But there are whole other departments that have limited transparency, and the budget documents clearly assume all existing spending is worthwhile and that no “pseudowork” is happening. We all know that isn’t true. Read the rest of this entry »

Nov
18

On Government Spending and Debt

Recently, the discussion in Europe about the need for austerity programs and higher taxes has continued to use the original Euro currency agreement, which allowed governments to run deficits of 3% of GDP.  This was foolish from the beginning, but is especially foolish now that the governments of Europe find themselves nearly bankrupt.  How does reducing government deficits to 3% of GDP help if the economy if only growing at 1% per year.  The debt continues to grow and government continues to take a larger and larger portion of productive economic activity and destroy it via redistribution.

Kate at SDA posted an EXCELLENT video explaining why more government is bad, and why higher taxes are not the solution to deficits:

The only solution to the debt problems is LESS government spending.  As Frederic Bastiat wrote over 160 years ago:

The state is the great fiction by which everybody seeks to live at the expense of everybody else.

Nov
13

Occupy, the Keystone XL non-decision and Mob Rule

In recent days, there has been a number of actions that caused me to piece together something.

First, the Occupy movement, which has taken over city squares and parks across North America, is generally a rag-tag band of socialists, communists, anarchists and other people who don’t understand economics.   I do not begrudge anyone their right to express a viewpoint, or to protest peacefully.  I even agree that requiring potential protestors to obtain permits from municipal officials is an unnecessary imposition on the freedom of speech and association.   But when the protests drag on from days or weeks without any clear message or demands that might possibly be met by anyone, it needs to stop.  Especially when the protests stop being civil and turn violent – because the state has a monopoly on violence.

The problem here is that the government officials in most cities have done little if anything to end these protests.  They appear to be paralyzed by this rag-tag bunch.  The government appears to fear acting against “the mob”, and I don’t mean the mafia.

Similarly, the recent non-decision by the US State Department, and really by the President, on the Keystone XL pipeline also appears to be the result of fearing the mob.  TransCanada had met every requirement set out under the laws of the United States, and all of the requirements set by the EPA and State Department.  However, for what should have been a formality of approval, the President has chosen to come up with an excuse to delay the decision beyond the November 2012 election.  This is simply fear of the mob.  Unlike some Presidential candidates (i.e. Newt Gingrich) who aren’t afraid to explain complex and difficult issues to the American electorate, Obama fears them.

Mob rule was a significant contributing factor to the weakening and fall of the Roman Empire.  It started with Nero fiddling and through all the emperors who built new arenas and held more games, subsidized more things and granted citizenship to ever more people with ever less requirement for commitment to the Empire…

When the state concedes to the mob, this can be the beginning of the end of a civilization.  In North America, the vast majority does not agree with the Occupy protestors or the hard-core environmentalists – but if they don’t speak up, the mob may rule.

 

Nov
01

Slouching toward a Great Depression

Monty Pelerin at AmericanThinker had a great column yesterday, where he explains clearly the coming economic collapse:

We are headed for an event that history will record as worse than the Great Depression.  It is unavoidable… The principal reason for the dire prediction is the level of debt outstanding.  Current debt levels are simply not sustainable.  Assets and cash flows cannot support or service this debt.

Read the rest of this entry »

Nov
01

Let the Greek people vote

The markets in turmoil, and European leaders are crying foul over Papandreiou’s pledge to hold a referendum on the bailout package.  Yet the right answer is to let the Greeks vote.  Greece gave us democracy and we should honour their rights.

All economic actors, whether individuals, corporations or nations, should be free to act in their own best interest – even if others believe they are acting with incomplete knowledge.

If the Greeks feel it is their own best interest to default – they should be allowed to do so.  The fact it could damage the rest of Europe is the fault of those nations and banks who lent Greece the money to a point well beyond their ability to pay.

Posted from WordPress for Android

Oct
24

R.I.P. John McCarthy

Yesterday, John McCarthy, one of the fathers of modern computer programming passed away.  John McCarthy may not have received as much notoriety among tech people as Steve Jobs did, but he was perhaps more influential.

McCarthy developed LISP in 1959, based on Alonzo Church’s lambda calculus, for use in artificial intelligence research.  My contact with LISP was limited to some programming using a subset of Common Lisp in 1998-2000 to extend a system that was originally developed by academics.    My previous programming background was in BASIC, FORTRAN and Pascal and while I initially balked at the prefix notation and plethora of parentheses of Lisp, I quickly recognized the inherent value of code and data being interchangeable.  I have since learned to program (I am no expert programmer) in Visual Basic, C#, Python and Javascript and I still find myself stumbling into the thought “this would be easier in LISP”…

For those who haven’t experienced Lisp, I recommend the books Practical Common Lisp by Siebel and On Lisp by Graham.  Or just see this comic:

So may John McCarthy may see what he discovered.

Oct
22

On Canadian History in the Schools

My eldest daughter is in the eighth grade, and she is a fairly typical 13 year old.  She likes and excels at math, likes to read and enjoys most of her classes.  At her school, they long ago merged what were once Grammar, Literature, History and Geography into one giant mess called “Humanities”.  While I suffered through “Social Studies”, this new monstrosity is worse.  Further, it has allowed socialist moral-relativism to displace first geography and then history from the curriculum.

She was asking me questions the other day, leading me to ask her a few.  I was surprised that she did not know who Sir John A. MacDonald was, nor Jacques Cartier, John Cabot, Samuel de Champlain, Wolfe or Montcalm, or Louis Riel.  I was further horrified to discover she couldn’t tell me what year Canada gained it’s independence (1867) nor could she name the 10 provinces and their capital cities.

I asked what she has been learning this year, and she said something about the Silk Road, the Renaissance and how white and black people haven’t gotten along and the black people were mistreated.  I didn’t bother to ask if they had discussed how African tribes had sold other African tribesman into slavery with the European traders…

The school curriculum needs rewriting.  Badly.  Because I don’t see that children are learning much of anything useful…

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